Goals: study factors that can affect the rates of speciation and extinction within groups to understand why some groups may have many species and others few species.
Related Textbook Material: Freeman and Herron (2001) Chapter 15 Sections 15.3-15.5
Lab Manual Questions over this material are in Lab Manual Chapter XVII
This uneven pattern of species number is related to another pattern -- some traits are found in a great many species, others in only a few species. Those traits of the groups that have lots of species are found in those species and are, as a result, very common. So we would note that most plants have flowers, that most animals have a hard exoskeleton, and that most mammals have either wings or enlarged incisors (big buck teeth) because there are so many species of flowering plant, insect, bat, and rodent, and these traits occur in these groups. We could ask whether these traits are something that have caused these groups to have many species, or whether something else caused there to be many species and we see these traits simply because species in these groups have them. We will address questions like this in this lecture; generally, we will look at some possible reasons for this pattern -- that is, evolutionary processes that could explain why so many species have evolved, and exist, in some groups compared to others.
Species selection refers to the fact that traits may be unusually common or rare among species because different groups have different rates of two processes: speciation and extinction. We expect many species within a group if it has had a high rate of speciation (producing many species) or if it has had a low rate of extinction (so most of the species that have been produced still exist.) We expect few species within a group if it has had a low rate of speciation (so few species have been produced) or if it has had a high rate of extinction (so few of the species that have been produced still exist.) As a result of these different rates, we expect the traits of those groups with high speciation or low extinction to be common among species and the traits of those groups with low speciation or high extinction to be rare.
Species selection is thus a way to explain the patterns noted above. To understand species selection, we will consider different possible reasons for different rates of speciation and extinction.
We have discussed speciation in some detail already. We need to make sure we understand extinction before we continue to study species selection.
Extinction occurs when all members of species die out leaving no descendents. So there are currently no descendents of species that have really gone extinct. We can contrast this with something called pseudoextinction, which occurs after speciation, when we consider that the ancestral species no longer exists, but that the descendents of that species still exist. Thus we would say that the ancestor to all bird species no longer exists, but it is considered pseudoextinct, not truly extinct, because many of the descendents of that species (the modern birds) do still exist. A dinosaur such as Tyrannosaurus rex we would say, in contrast, is extinct -- it has died out and there are no live descendents of T. rex.
When we study species selection, we want to understand what causes rates of true extinction -- why do species die out - - rather than pseudoextinction. Pseudoextinction is simply a side effect the other process we will be studying as we study species selection -- that is, of speciation.
To understand species selection, we will consider possible reasons for high rates of speciation or low rates of extinction in some groups. These are as follows:
Extinction rates, in contrast, may be higher in species with large body size. Large organisms require more resources from the environment and are likely to exist in populations of fewer individuals as a result. They may thus be more subject to genetic drift, which can result in non-adaptive evolution, so they may not be as well adapted to their environments. It is also more likely that environmental changes would cause them to die out -- there are fewer individuals and they require more resources.
If species with small body size have higher rates of speciation or lower rates of extinction than do species with large body size, we would predict there to be more small species than large species. To some extent this is apparently true -- insects are small compared to many other animals, for example, and rodents are some of the smaller mammals. Not all groups with small body size have many species, though, so body size can't entirely explain the observed patterns of species selection.
Now that you have seen several species selection hypotheses, you should be asking yourself how they could be tested. How would we test to see if a trait was a key innovation, for example? We would predict that the rate of speciation increased in a group after the evolution of a key innovation. This could be tested using the fossil record for those groups with very good fossil records for which the number of new species evolving can be reliably determined. We can also test for key innovations looking at modern species, by studying their phylogenies.
Since a key innovation leads to adaptive radiation, which means there is a high rate of speciation, we predict that within the same amount of time, more species should evolve in a group with a key innovation than a group without a key innovation. Phylogenetically, this means we predict a pattern like the following:
In this figure, species shown in blue are those with the hypothesized key innovation. The phylogeny shows the history of speciation in the group that evolved from the ancestor that evolved the key innovation, and in the most closely related group without the hypothesized key innovation. The pattern here suggests that the hypothesized key innovation really is a key innovation because when we compare the group that has this (species E- Z) with the most closely related group that does not (species B-D), there are many more species in the group with the trait. This suggests that, within the same amount of time (since the ancestor to E-Z speciated from the ancestor to B-D), there has been much more speciation in the group with the hypothesized key innovation than the group without. Since key innovations are traits that result in adaptive radiation, and adaptive radiation involves a high rate of speciation, this is the pattern predicted if this trait is a key innovation. Note that we also need to identify when the hypothesized key innovation evolved to be able to show that there has been a high rate of speciation since it evolved; we do this by outgroup comparison. Species A is the outgroup to B-Z; it does not have the key innovation, so the key innovation is apparently a derived trait that evolved in the ancestor to E-Z.
Note that we have already looked at how to use studies of phylogeny to test for adaptation (in the previous lecture); this shows another way of using phylogenies to test an evolutionary process. In this case we are looking at rates of speciation.
Study tips: